domingo, 23 de mayo de 2010

Goldman Sachs Probabilities: Brazil Will Win the World Cup

Goldman Sachs published recently a very interesting study, The World Cup and Economics 2010, where they attempt to calculate “objective” probabilities for the likely winner of the CUP. They combined official FIFA rankings and average odds given by bookmakers to create an “initial probability”. Then it penalizes countries according to how tough their schedule is.
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Top five:
Brasil 13.76%
Spain 10.46%
Germany 9.40%
England 9.38%
Argentina 9.08%
( Mexico 2.40%)

Just one question..... considering recent Goldman Sachs scandal, how should we interpret these results? Should we bet against Brazil?

3 comentarios:

Mario Enrique dijo...

Me agrada el tono irónico de la nota. Goladman & Sachs lo quieren hacer de nuevo. Lo malo es que ni aunque se equivoquen le echan porras a la selección :/
Mario Enrique

Anónimo dijo...

"Should we be against Brazil?", quizá G&S tiene información importante y solo la está ocultando. Jajajajaja.

Ale Hernández.

Antonio dijo...

Excelente, ganara mi equipo como siempre! Ya quiero una playera con 6 estrellas!!!